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New-zealandAnalytics
Among other things, national team matches are also distinguished by a wide range of opponents. That is, a statistically average..
TOP MATCHES
20' |
Bayern Munic VS RB Leipzig Free! |
90' |
Pharco VS FC ZED |
Nice - Angers. Lille - Monaco. Roma - Udinese. Juventus - Torino. Ligue 1 (France). Serie A (Italy).
It was conducted a research of the strategy “bet on the win (defeat or draw) of a team” in the previous preview. For French League 1 the forecast was made that teams Monaco and Nice are underestimated by bookies. Of course, the win of Nice with 1:0 score at 3.30 odds and win of Monaco with 3:0 score at 1.16 odds confirm this hypothesis and that is why the team of the site Corner-stats.com again bets on the win of these teams in the next game week:
Pessimists will say that 2 matches are very few matches to test the hypothesis, and will be right.
In this review, the team at Corner-stats.com continues this research in other leagues.
Unfortunately, in the German Bundesliga such teams were not found, but in the Italian Serie A, the research showed a positive result.
There are profitable teams such as Juventus, Roma, Sassuolo and Atalanta for 2013/14 – 2017/18 seasons. Herewith they held more than 150 matches.
Each season the teams show the following profit:
Team |
Profit |
||||||
Total |
2013/14 |
2014/15 |
2015/16 |
2016/17 |
2017/18 |
||
Juventus |
26,67 |
9,26 |
6,13 |
7,05 |
2,59 |
1,64 |
|
Roma |
14,34 |
5,13 |
-3,92 |
3,75 |
8,39 |
0,99 |
|
Sassuolo |
7,32 |
-7,41 |
1,21 |
13,53 |
1,69 |
-1,70 |
|
Atalanta |
1,90 |
12,44 |
-16,14 |
-6,06 |
13,71 |
-2,05 |
It means that only Roma and Juventus show stable result.
It should also be admitted that if you conduct a more detailed research, it is possible that the team of Chievo could be underestimated:
Team |
Profit |
||||||
Total |
2013/14 |
2014/15 |
2015/16 |
2016/17 |
2017/18 |
||
Chievo |
-4,18 |
-11,07 |
1,76 |
2,43 |
3,70 |
-1,00 |
In the season of 2013/14, having received a huge loss (the team showed a disgusting play), the bookmaker reduced very much the odds for Chievo's win. But Chievo has played the last 3 seasons better than her bookmaker estimates, which signals an increasing profit.
And now make a research about upcoming matches of Juventus and Roma.
Juventus plays with Torino and bookmakers estimate its win at 1.38 (1хБет) and the stats shows value its odds:
- Juventus won 9 of 11 H2H in 2012-2018 seasons;
- Juventus won 33 of 39 matches of Juventus with the teams that are similar to Torino in 2014-2018 years (you can see this information on the screenshot on the site of corner-stats.com below);
- Torino lost 17 of 18 matches with the teams that are similar to Juventus and there was one draw.
Roma plays the match with Udinese and bookmakers estimate its win at 1.29 (Bet365). Stats also show value of these odds.
- Roma won 11 of 14 H2H in 2012-2018 years;
- Roma won 30 of 36 matches with the teams the same strength as Udinese in 2013-2018 years and the rest 6 matches are draws.
- Udinese lost 17 of 23 matches with teams the same strength as Roma.
There are some words about Cagliary – Chievo match. The stats of the matches (the odds of Chievo win are 3.74 at 1xBet):
- Chievo won 1 of 6 H2H in 2013-2018 years;
- 4 of 18 of home matches of Cagliary with the teams with the same strength as Chievo, Cagliary lost in 2013-2018 years;
- 6of 28 matches of Chievo with the teams the same strength as Cagliary, Chievo win.
As far as, in H2H matches the value of Chievo`s win is not confirmed thus the team of Corner-stats.com does not recommend to make bets on the win of Chievo (remember the rule – if you are not confident, do not bet), but we will continue to follow the team.
The Corner-stats.com team bets on the win of Nice over Angers at 2.02 at 1xBet; on Monaco win against Lillie at 1.73 odds at Bet365; on Juventus win over Turino at 1.38 at 1xBet and win of Roma against Udinese at 1.26 at 1xBet.
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